Insights category
Observations, concepts and exploratory thinking.
How economics, psychology, neuroscience, computer science, engineering, mathematics and operations research each contributed to the methods machines use to make decisions.
10 min read
Tulips, the South Sea Company, railways, 1929, Japan, the dot-com boom and US housing: a guided tour of famous bubbles and the lessons they share.
10 min read
When team members share a goal but each sees only part of the picture, coordination is surprisingly hard. Lessons from collaborative agents research for designing teams, roles and communication.
10 min read
Decision theory describes how choices should be made; people often choose differently. How the certainty effect, framing and prospect theory shape real decisions, and how to design around them.
10 min read
Benjamin Graham taught Warren Buffett to buy businesses for less than they were worth. Buffett's shift towards owning great businesses for decades offers a lesson that reaches well beyond investing.
10 min read
Good intentions fade; habits last. How to turn new skills into a short, specific personal action plan, and why small, repeated actions beat ambitious resolutions.
10 min read
Skills such as questioning, listening and negotiating improve through deliberate practice, not experience alone. How to assess yourself honestly, practise effectively and get useful feedback.
10 min read
Sales training often says buyers decide with a primitive brain. The real science is more interesting. What we know about emotion and reason in decisions, and how to sell honestly.
10 min read
Most of what we learn in a workshop is gone within weeks. What the forgetting curve tells us about memory, and practical ways to turn training into lasting skill.
10 min read
Bubbles are not driven only by greed or foolishness. Extrapolation, herding, social proof, overconfidence and fading memories lead sensible people to join in. How to recognise and resist them.
10 min read
Probability is a language for uncertainty. How degrees of belief, distributions, conditional probability and Bayes' rule help you reason clearly about evidence and risk.
10 min read
Every bubble comes with a persuasive story about a new era. Why those stories are usually partly true, how they get stretched too far, and how to test a new-era claim.
10 min read
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