KEVOS® WORKOS · Projects

Contingency Allowance

How much project contingency is reasonable?

Gives a screening contingency allowance from ratings of uncertainty, complexity and risk.

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How this tool works

Inputs, units and where to find them

InputUnitTypical source
Base project cost$Base estimate before contingency
Estimate uncertainty1–5 scoreHow well defined the estimate is (1 detailed, 5 conceptual)
Complexity1–5 scoreTechnical complexity (1 routine, 5 novel)
Risk exposure1–5 scoreOverall risk exposure (1 low, 5 high)

Method and formulas

  1. Combined rating p = (uncertainty + complexity + risk) ÷ 15
  2. Rate = 5% + 20% × p
  3. Allowance = base × rate

Limitations

  • A screening heuristic, not a quantified risk analysis
  • Does not replace your estimating standard

Typical uses

  • Early estimates and budget requests
  • Sense-checking a contingency proposed by others

Who it is for

  • Estimators
  • Project managers

What you get

  • Contingency rate (9–25%) and allowance
  • Total including contingency

Interpreting the result

  • For large or poorly defined projects, use range estimating or Monte Carlo analysis
  • Do not double-count risks already priced in the base estimate

References

  • AACE International Recommended Practice 40R-08, Contingency Estimating — General Principles

WORKOS tools are screening and decision-support utilities. Verify important financial, engineering, safety, legal or operational decisions using appropriate professional standards and your organisation’s approved data.

Open the Contingency Allowance calculator