KEVOS® MAKEOS · Money

Learning Curve Unit Time and Cost

How long will the nth unit take, and what will the batch cost, as the team learns?

Unit time, cumulative time and average time per unit on a Wright learning curve from the first-unit time and learning rate, with labour cost for the batch.

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How this tool works

Inputs, units and where to find them

InputUnitTypical source
Time for the first unithTime for the first unit, from a trial build or estimate.
Learning rate%Time for a doubled quantity as a percentage of the earlier time (assembly often 80–90%, machining 90–95%).
Number of unitsunitsNumber of units in the batch.
Labour rateAUD/hLabour cost per hour.

Method and formulas

  1. Unit time Tₙ = T₁ n^b, with b = log₂(learning rate).
  2. Cumulative time = Σ Tᵢ for i = 1…n; average = cumulative ÷ n.
  3. Batch cost = cumulative time × labour rate.
  4. Example: at 85%, unit 50 takes 3.9962 h and the batch averages 5.1026 h per unit.

Limitations

  • Learning flattens out; production standards eventually limit times.
  • Breaks in production cause forgetting and higher times.
  • Example values are illustrations. Replace them with values for your actual task.

Typical uses

  • Quote new products with falling labour time
  • Plan staffing for a ramp-up
  • Check whether production times are improving as expected

Who it is for

  • Estimators
  • Production planners
  • Industrial engineers

What you get

  • Time for the nth unit
  • Cumulative and average time
  • Labour cost of the batch

Interpreting the result

  • Use average time for quoting a batch and unit time for planning the end of the run.

References

  • Machinery’s Handbook, 29th edition (Industrial Press, 2012), printed pp. 146. Topic reference; no source tables or recommended settings are reproduced.

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Open the Learning Curve Unit Time and Cost calculator