KEVOS® WORKOS · Inventory

Safety Stock

How much buffer stock should you hold?

Sizes safety stock by the statistical service-level method when demand and lead-time variation are known, and by the max-minus-average rule otherwise.

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How this tool works

Inputs, units and where to find them

InputUnitTypical source
Maximum daily demandunits/dayHighest normal daily demand in recent history
Maximum lead timedaysLongest normal lead time experienced
Average daily demandunits/dayAverage daily demand
Average lead timedaysAverage lead time in days
Std deviation of daily demand (0 = not known)units/dayStandard deviation of daily demand from 6–12 months of history
Std deviation of lead time (0 = not known)daysStandard deviation of lead time from receipt records
Target cycle service levelchoiceTarget probability of not stocking out in a replenishment cycle

Method and formulas

  1. Statistical: SS = z × √(L × σd² + d² × σL²), with z from the service level (95% → 1.645)
  2. Rule of thumb: SS = max daily × max lead − average daily × average lead

Limitations

  • The statistical method assumes independent, roughly normal demand
  • Lumpy, seasonal or intermittent demand needs other methods

Typical uses

  • Setting buffers for purchased and made items
  • Reviewing service levels and stock-outs

Who it is for

  • Inventory planners
  • Supply chain analysts

What you get

  • Safety stock in units and days
  • Comparison of the two methods

Interpreting the result

  • Higher service levels raise safety stock steeply above about 97.5%
  • Without variation data, treat the result as a rule of thumb

References

  • Silver E. A., Pyke D. F. and Thomas D. J., Inventory and Production Management in Supply Chains (CRC Press)

WORKOS tools are screening and decision-support utilities. Verify important financial, engineering, safety, legal or operational decisions using appropriate professional standards and your organisation’s approved data.

Open the Safety Stock calculator