Approximate Value Functions and Online Planning
A handbook for solving large sequential decision problems using value-function approximation, receding-horizon control, rollouts, search, sparse sampling and Monte Carlo tree se…
Business articles and subject areas in the KEVOS knowledge library. 281 pages.
A handbook for solving large sequential decision problems using value-function approximation, receding-horizon control, rollouts, search, sparse sampling and Monte Carlo tree se…
A handbook for understanding the typical stages of an asset bubble, diagnostic warning signs, the role of credit and the way asset-price changes can feed into consumer spending.
A practical guide to analysing cash, receivables, inventory, prepaid items, current assets, current liabilities and liquidity without relying on one ratio.
A handbook for planning when system state is uncertain, including belief-state value functions, offline and online POMDP planning, point-based methods and controller abstractions.
A handbook for connecting operating cash flow, capital expenditure, share repurchases, earnings yield, valuation, purchase discipline and sell decisions.
A handbook for coordinating multiple decision-makers with shared objectives when information is distributed, using decentralised partially observable models, communication and p…
A handbook for framing consequential decisions when outcomes are uncertain, combining objectives, alternatives, probability models, utility, information and sequential learning.
A practical framework for using financial statements to test business quality, economic resilience, capital efficiency and the durability of competitive advantages.
A handbook for distinguishing recurring operating earnings from gains, losses and financing effects, then analysing pre-tax income, tax, net earnings and earnings per share.
A handbook for balancing learning and performance in uncertain decision systems using bandit logic, model-based learning, model-free learning and controlled exploration.
A detailed guide to analysing revenue, cost of goods or services, gross profit, operating expenses, depreciation and the operating economics revealed by an income statement.
A practical handbook for taking initiative, recognising opportunities and applying entrepreneurial behaviour without confusing action with recklessness.
A step-by-step handbook for reading the income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement as one connected model of business performance and financial position.
A practical leadership guide to integrity, ethical consistency, trust, boundaries, constructive disagreement and assertive communication in everyday management.
A practical guide to estimating model parameters, Bayesian learning, non-parametric approaches, missing data and learning probabilistic model structure from evidence.
A detailed guide to current liabilities, payables, short-term and long-term debt, maturity risk, deferred obligations and the balance-sheet risks created by leverage.
A handbook for analysing property and equipment, goodwill, intangible assets, long-term investments and the capital intensity of a business.
A practical guide to strategic interaction among multiple decision-makers using normal-form games, best responses, equilibrium concepts, repeated adaptation and Markov games.
A practical guide to directly optimising decision policies using parameterised policy search, gradient estimation, actor-critic architectures and stable optimisation practices.
A handbook for evaluating decision policies, estimating performance, testing rare-event risk, measuring robustness and using adversarial scenarios before deployment.
A practical guide to seven strategy principles: objective, initiative, concentration, manoeuvre, coordinated action, surprise and exploitation of advantage.
A handbook for answering probability queries in structured models using exact inference, variable elimination, message passing and Monte Carlo sampling methods.
A practical introduction to probability distributions, conditional probability, independence and Bayesian networks for representing uncertainty in business decision models.
A practical handbook for building a credible professional image through consistent behaviour, appropriate presentation, clear communication and respectful assertiveness.
A step-by-step rental-property underwriting guide using an anonymised eight-unit source example to reconcile rent roll, vacancy, operating expenses and net operating income.
A handbook for building grounded self-confidence, a constructive mental attitude and a practical learning system based on observable behaviours from successful people.
A practical introduction to sequential decision problems, Markov decision processes, policies, value functions, Bellman equations and exact solution methods.
A practical handbook for reading common and preferred equity, retained earnings, treasury shares, return on equity and the way financial leverage affects shareholder returns.
A detailed guide to decision making when the true state is partially observed, including belief states, Bayesian filtering, Kalman filters, extended and unscented filters, and p…
A detailed strategic-planning handbook built around five core questions, the right participants, facilitation, focused planning sessions and implementation discipline.
A handbook for separating strategy from budgeting, defining strategic objectives, renewing a business model and turning long-range intent into actionable choices.
A practical self-management guide to sustainable work performance, fatigue control, healthy routines, morning activation and maintaining energy under pressure.
A handbook for converting uncertain outcomes into rational choices using preference models, expected utility, decision networks and value-of-information analysis.
Source fidelity note: This handbook preserves the supplied source's concepts while making their application explicit for practical business application and review.
Source fidelity note: This handbook preserves the supplied source's concepts while making their application explicit for practical business application and review.
Source fidelity note: This handbook preserves the supplied source's concepts while making their application explicit for practical business application and review.
Source fidelity note: This handbook preserves the supplied source's concepts while making their application explicit for practical business application and review.
Source fidelity note: This handbook preserves the supplied source's concepts while making their application explicit for practical business application and review.
Source fidelity note: This handbook preserves the supplied source's concepts while making their application explicit for practical business application and review.
Trace AI from symbolic systems to deep learning and use emerging capability themes to plan realistic business scenarios without relying on hype.
Source fidelity note: This handbook preserves the supplied source's concepts while making their application explicit for practical business application and review.
A handbook for using social consequences, accountability partners and explicit habit contracts to make unwanted behaviour less satisfying and commitments more visible.
Source fidelity note: This handbook preserves the supplied source's concepts while making their application explicit for practical business application and review.
Source fidelity note: This handbook preserves the supplied source's concepts while making their application explicit for practical business application and review.
A biotech startup case study — how a first-time entrepreneur overcame no capital and skeptical banks, then beat the multinationals with a "High Volume, Low Value" model and bios…
Apply AI to facility design, day-to-day operations and quality control through clear use cases, safe integration and measurable operational outcomes.
Use AI and digital twins to improve supply-chain visibility, forecasting and scenario response while controlling data, model and execution risks.
Design AI-enabled segmentation and personalisation using clear objectives, meaningful features, testable treatments, privacy controls and incremental measurement.